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Sept 24, 2026: 30-Year Yield Hits 2004 High, Hormuz Talks Pull Stocks Off Lows

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The recap in focus

SPY slipped 0.08% on Thursday, September 24, 2026. A bond rout pushed the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.46%, its highest since 2004, and stocks opened lower. A midday report of US-Iran talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz pulled SPY back to finish nearly flat at 767.18.

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Key points

  1. 0130-year Treasury yield hits 5.46%, highest since 2004; 10-year touches 5.14%
  2. 02Jobless claims fall to 197K; odds of an October Fed hike jump to about 71%
  3. 03Brent holds above $106 a barrel, keeping energy-driven inflation fears alive
  4. 04Russell 2000 -1.77% and Nasdaq -0.78% lag as yields hit growth stocks; IonQ +12%
  5. 05Report of phased US-Iran Hormuz deal sends WTI to about $93 and stocks off their lows